Shattered

After ten long years of fighting against Trump and everything he stands for, we have lost. Trump will become President of the United States. Again.

Did we somehow fail to make our case sufficiently? Or was too much of the country too walled off in their own dark fantasy to hear it? Either way, it no longer matters. Trump still won.

To have more than half the country elect a man who, as The New York Times said, is manifestly unfit for the office of President — it is nearly impossible for me to absorb and accept its implications. A convicted felon and fraud will now be running the country. David Frum, writing in The Atlantic, has made an excellent effort put it in perspective. Many others will surely follow.

“We must {now} learn to live in an America where an overwhelming number of our fellow citizens have chosen a president who holds the most fundamental values and traditions of our democracy, our Constitution, even our military in contempt.”

This is not an America that I recognize anymore.

This election was not a choice between two reasonable candidates who had differing policies and different visions for the future. It was a choice between a candidate who sought to protect our freedoms and our democracy and one that seeks to end them. Between one that values truth and compassion and one that revels in lies and grievance and revenge. Between a defender of our laws and one who has broken our laws — multiple times. Between a future where I could feel safe and secure that the Presidency is in competent hands and one where I fear the recklessness and chaos that lies ahead. And the voters looked at all of this —and chose Trump.

I am shattered.

The next four years will be exponentially worse than Trump’s first term…if only because he will be emboldened by the fact that the horribly vile and divisive campaign he ran actually got him back to the White House. And because he has learned that no matter what he does, no matter what laws or norms he breaks, he remains held unaccountable.

We can look forward to Trump carrying out many of the punitive and autocratic and destructive policies he promised. Things such as (to cite one recently quoted example) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. being in charge of the government’s health agencies. OMG! And, as a special bonus, Trump can now ensure that the Supreme Court remains with a conservative super-majority for at least a generation.

If we couldn’t prevent a Trump victory — despite all of our exhaustive efforts and despite all of the evidence of Trump’s “unfitness,” I don’t have much hope for anything changing any time soon. What can we do now that we haven’t already done — to no avail? If you’re waiting for the country to have a collective change of heart at some point — because they begin to see how bad a Trump second term will be — don’t count on it. Trump’s America is not an aberration; for now at least, it is who we are.

What is the proper response when you believe someone is a fascist and that person wins anyway? How do you continue to go about your normal business? How do you fight back? If you were living in Germany in the 1930’s, what would you have done to combat the rise of Hitler? Could you have done anything that would have altered the outcome? Almost certainly not. And how should that apply to what we do here now? I don’t have good answers to those questions. Certainly not any optimistic ones.

We are the victims of a political earthquake. Before we can move forward, we will need to pick up the pieces of the wreckage in front of us. It will take some time. Actually, the metaphor is imperfect. It’s worse than a  single earthquake. The political tremors of this election will continue to reverberate for the next four years — at least.

Many of you will look at the wreckage and have the motivation to rebuild — and eventually return to the fray: “Americans who care about democracy have work to do.” I applaud you and your resilience. I wish you success. Nothing would please me more than to see you succeed. And, at some level, I know it is the right thing to do. Giving up only further strengthens Trump.

Yet…others may decide that enough is enough and it’s time to move on to somewhere or something else — while we still can. Sadly, that’s the direction I am heading. I feel too old to want to spend my remaining years fighting…to preserve a country where a majority clearly have no interest in being “saved”…and for a cause that has so spectacularly failed to achieve its fundamental goal.

I am shattered. I am done.

Don’t say you weren’t warned

For my final post before Tuesday’s election, I turn over most of the space to two of my preferred publications: The New York Times and The Atlantic — with a listing of ultra-worthy articles published in the last couple of days.

I will spare you citations to articles that cover predictions as to who will win on Tuesday. We’ll know that soon enough (and I remain optimistic that Harris will prevail).

Rather, I focus here on a plethora of articles that assess the current state of our country as it sits on the verge of this most consequential of elections — with an emphasis on the unique dangers that Trump represents.

If this election were a jury trial, the case against Trump would be overwhelming. He’d be convicted on all counts. However, the final result is instead dependent on the court of public opinion — which has a different standard. If you are somehow still undecided here — and seek assistance in these last hours — read even a small selection of the following columns. The answers you seek will become very clear.

From The New York Times

There Will Always Be a Trump. That’s Only Part of the Problem:

“I’m writing those words in the context of a presidential contest that already represents a national failure. Even if Kamala Harris wins on Tuesday, there should be relief, not lasting joy. The United States will have come within an eyelash of electing a man who tried to overturn an election to cling to power.”

Donald Trump Is Done With Checks and Balances:

“Most Americans have lived only in a world where democracy was secure, where democracy was assumed. On Tuesday we’ll decide if we want to stay in that world or leave it behind.”

What I Truly Expect if an Unconstrained Trump Retakes Power

Let’s Not Blow It Again

All the Demons Are Here

I’ve Covered Authoritarians Abroad. Now I Fear One at Home

Will Democracy Ever Not Be on the Ballot?

There’s Something Very Different About Harris vs. Trump

and an Editorial Board statement that sums it all up:

You already know Donald Trump. He is unfit to lead. Watch him. Listen to those who know him best. He tried to subvert an election and remains a threat to democracy. He helped overturn Roe, with terrible consequences. Mr. Trump’s corruption and lawlessness go beyond elections: It’s his whole ethos. He lies without limit. If he’s re-elected, the G.O.P. won’t restrain him. Mr. Trump will use the government to go after opponents. He will pursue a cruel policy of mass deportations. He will wreak havoc on the poor, the middle class and employers. Another Trump term will damage the climate, shatter alliances and strengthen autocrats. Americans should demand better. Vote.

Of course, even if Harris wins on Tuesday, the battle will not be over. We will have have to contend with the inevitable Trump counter-attack: false claims of fraud and stolen elections, echoing what happened in 2020 — but with much greater preparation this time:

Trump, Preparing to Challenge the Results, Puts His 2020 Playbook Into Action

Monitors, Once Meant to Prevent Election Fraud, Now Seek to Prove It

The Army of Election Officials Ready to Reject the Vote

And from The Atlantic

No One Has an Alibi:

“Donald trump’s presidency was mitigated by his ignorance, idleness, and vanity. Trump did not know how the office worked. He did not invest any effort to learn. He wasted much of his time watching daytime television.

Defeat in 2020—and Trump’s plot to overturn that defeat—gave him a purpose: vengeance on those who bested him.

A second Trump presidency will have a much clearer agenda than the first. No more James Mattis to restrain him, no more John Kelly to chide him, no more Rex Tillerson to call him a ‘fucking moron.’ He will have only sycophants.”

Trump Needs Help

The Unique Danger of a Trumpist Oligarchy

and

How Republicans in Congress Could Try to Steal the Election

A personal postscript

I have claimed Trump is a fascist. I have said he is a threat to our democracy. Both are true.

But to clarify: When I say Trump is a fascist, I mean that, based on his past behavior and his own words during this campaign, I believe autocratic control is his goal. People like Putin are his idols; that’s who he aspires to be; a dictator. And I believe he will seriously attempt to achieve those goals. As The New York Times succinctly put it: When he says he will do things like prosecute his enemies and use soldiers against citizens, “Believe him.”

But do I believe he would end democracy within his first weeks of taking office? Of course not. Democracy will not instantly die if Trump wins. It will be more like a gradual erosion until the transition is at some point completed. So what about over the longer haul? Will Trump be successful in his autocratic aspirations before his term ends in four years? Perhaps. Perhaps not.

But that’s not the sole criteria by which we should judge the danger a Trump victory represents. Even if things never go quite that far, we are far from out of the woods.

What also matters is what Trump, explicitly or implicitly, will attempt to do. And how far he will actually succeed. And how much negative impact that will have on our daily lives. Do we really want a country where the survival of freedom and democracy requires a constant fight against the efforts of a President determined to undermine them? Where each dawn we awaken with a fear of what the coming hours will bring — with a President who will keep testing and retesting our willingness to tolerate his abuses? Is that what we want for our future — even if some form of democracy ultimately prevails? It is questions like these that most of the articles cited above (as well as my own prior posts here) attempt to address.

Whatever happens next is up to you, the voter. If the worst happens, don’t say you weren’t warned. 

Small Bites: Madison Square Garden edition

Occasionally, I’ll have a strong reaction (usually a bit snarky) to some irritating political news. More rarely these days, my spirits will be lifted by some positive story. In either case, I am moved to write something about it. The problem is that any resulting post would not be long enough to justify an entire column here. In the past, that’s when I went to Twitter. But now that X is overwhelmed by the foul stench of Elon Musk, I don’t go there anymore. So…instead I thought I would combine several of these brief observations into one column — which I am calling Small Bites. Here’s the first one.

Trump is so not off the hook for his MSG rally. Numerous comments made by the warm-up acts at Trump’s Madison Square Garden debacle were so offensive and so filled with racial hatred, that the Trump campaign was forced to issue “a rare statement distancing itself” from the remarks (especially one comedian’s insult to the island of Puerto Rico). Rare indeed, like this may be the first time an apology of any sort has come from the Trump campaign. That should tell you just how bad this all was.

Trump campaign officials can do all the disavowing they want. However, unless and until an apology comes from Trump himself, it means nothing. Trump most certainly approved of these speakers beforehand; he can’t evade responsibility for the consequences of those choices. But more importantly, Trump himself has not said a single word of contrition about any of this. His only comments thus far are to say “Last night, we had a great rally at Madison Square Garden” and boast about (you guessed it!) the crowd size. Trump, as always, is sticking to his Roy Cohn playbook. It’s all he knows how to do. And, at least up till now, it has generally worked for him. Let’s hope it will fail spectacularly next week.

By the way, Trump’s own speech did not shift the tone in any way, but you will never see any apology for that.

Scott Jennings falls flat (again). Speaking of the Garden disaster, when the matter was discussed on CNN yesterday, Scott Jennings (CNN’s resident Trump sycophant) had the rare good sense to not defend Trump. Unfortunately, he couldn’t let it rest there. He had to resort to his inevitable “what-aboutism” and claim that some Democrats have insulted Trump in ways comparable to how the speakers at MSG insulted Harris.

I won’t waste my time arguing whether or not his claim has any validity. It doesn’t have much and it doesn’t matter. The point is that Kamala Harris does not have control over every Democrat, podcaster, and late-night comedian in the country. She’s not responsible for them and couldn’t limit what they say even if she wanted to do so. That’s the big difference. The Garden event was a Trump-sanctioned, Trump-featured major political rally — probably the biggest of his campaign. Everything about it was under the direct control and oversight of Trump and his campaign staff. So what happened there is very much Trump’s responsibility. As usual, Jennings’ lame attempt to paint Harris as no different than Trump fell as flat as a pancake after it’s been run over by a steamroller.

Mass Deportation: the ignorance of Trump and his supporters. One of the pillars of Trump’s rickety platform, touted at the Madison Square Garden rally, is his promise of “mass deportation” of all illegal immigrants, starting on “day 1.” The absurdity and impossibility of actually trying to implement such a policy has now been covered in several venues — including a segment on the most recent 60 Minutes. But for my money, the best takedown was from John Oliver. Not only did he clearly lay out just how costly, unworkable and ultimately counterproductive the plan would be (not to mention immoral), he showcased the mindless support that the plan has from Trump’s MAGA-heads. Paraphrasing here, they essentially said: “I support mass deportation. Yes, absolutely, if they are not here legally, we should get rid of them…all of them.”

It’s all so sadly typical. Trump pushes some bit of fear-mongering that he believes will be a good soundbite for his campaign — while giving exactly zero thought to whether it is possible to carry out the idea — or even whether it would be wise to try. He revels in his ignorance. And then, just as surely, like mindless robots, his followers enthusiastically echo everything he says. It’s truly scary to contemplate what will happen if this man becomes President again.

The real “October surprise.” One could argue that John Kelly’s revelation that Trump fits the definition of a fascist was an October surprise. Some in the press have claimed that the Madison Square Rally amounts to an October surprise. But I’m not sure they qualify for the label. The problem is that neither of these things were especially surprising. It’s exactly what you would expect to hear about Trump and from Trump.

Paradoxically, if there was any October surprise at all this election cycle, it is that there was no surprise involving Kamala Harris. I don’t mean that we should have expected some negative story about her. Far from it. But, given that you can be sure that the Trump campaign has spent more money and resources trying to dig up some dirt on Harris than most countries spend in a year — their inability to find anything amounts to a pleasant surprise.

When is enough enough? Years ago, something like the Madison Square Garden rally might have been a determinative event, assuring a victory for Harris. But we don’t live in such times anymore. No one thing seems to move the needle significantly. Everything seems so “baked in.” And events that seem critical one day seem almost forgotten by the next.

Still, I have to ask myself: If not the MSG rally, then what? What does Trump have to do to get persuadable Trump voters (assuming any exist) to say “Enough already. This is a bridge too far. I can no longer support this guy.”? Are they really willing to look the other way at all the crap that comes out of his mouth — all the lies and violent rhetoric and fascist threats— and say: “Yes, that’s the guy I want as President“? Is this really someone they admire? Do they really want such person in charge of the country? Who knows, maybe I’m wrong. Maybe this time, it will make a difference. I can only hope.

The closing argument (revised): Beyond Fascism

I firmly believe Trump is a fascist and that his threat to democracy is very real. The claim is based not only on what Trump has already done (which is bad enough, as I argued in my prior column), but on what he has promised to do if re-elected and on his absolute ability and intent to carry out those threats. He will act on them. As The New York Times shouted from its op-ed page yesterday: When Trump says these things, BELIEVE HIM.

I pair this with the vulgar lies — and incoherent rants — he (and his allies) spew at every opportunity — as in his racist hate-filled Madison Square Garden rally last night — and I remain stunned that his candidacy can survive this rhetoric. But somehow it does.

The hard face-slapping truth is that, in the final weeks of the campaign, Kamala Harris has not widened her lead. On the contrary, Trump has narrowed the gap. Like just about everyone, I take polling data with a huge grain of salt. But when almost all of them show the same trends, you have to take notice. I would still rather be Harris than Trump, but not by as much as I had hoped or expected at this point.

Nothing Trump has said or done in the last few weeks should have improved his chances of winning; on the contrary, unless doing nothing more than shoring up your hard-core base with lies and fear-mongering is the way to go, he remains his own worst enemy. That’s why I am reluctantly forced to consider that Harris’ seemingly stalled campaign is more a case of what she is or isn’t doing. Something is not clicking for her. As Robert Reich put it today:

“In more recent weeks, she’s focused mostly on Trump’s particular threat to democracy. Her campaign seems to have decided that she can draw additional voters from moderate Republican suburban women upset by Trump’s role in fomenting the attack on the U.S. Capitol.

That’s why she’s been campaigning with Liz Cheney and gathering Republican officials as supporters. And why she has chosen to give her closing message on the Ellipse — where Trump summoned his followers to march on the Capitol on January 6, 2021.

Yet when she shifted gears from the economy to Trump’s attacks on democracy, Harris’s campaign stalled. I think that’s because Americans continue to focus on the economy and want an answer to why they are still struggling economically.”

What’s the chicken and egg here? Has her campaign stalled because she shifted her focus to threats on democracy? Or was the decision to shift precipitated by a slowing of progress already happening for other reasons? Or was the shift decision independent of any of these considerations — and was going to happen anyway, exactly as planned. I don’t know. Still, it is a troubling sign. I have argued that the shift was exactly the right thing to do at exactly the right moment. I confess to having some doubts now.

Update: A New York Times article today offers a bit of encouraging news on this front.

Trump, on the other hand, gets by with making no arguments at all — other than “Things are horrible now and I will make them better. Trust me.” It seems pathetic. But it remains a tight race.

It’s apparent that a significant portion of this country is either unpersuaded that Trump is the danger that he clearly is — or they don’t care. I will never understand how such a self-evidently unqualified and vile human being can be even close to winning. But I cannot deny the reality of it.

I’m not sure that any sort of course-correction is needed at this point. The Harris campaign has done — and continues to do — an amazing job overall. And there really isn’t much time left to do any correcting anyway. Still, for whatever it is worth, my recommendation would be to keep hammering on democracy issues. Definitely. It’s critical. But just as importantly, perhaps more so, emphasize why a vote for Harris is a vote to make people’s lives better — economically, socially and every other way imaginable. Because it is! Whatever your problems are — Trump is not the solution!

Harris is still favored to win. I believe she will do so. But it’s going to be a nail-biter. Hang on.